Polymarket Alpha Guide

A 3,500+ word playbook on finding actual edges in prediction markets - the kind that compound into real money. Covers expected value frameworks, Kelly Criterion bankroll management, behavioral biases you can exploit, order book analysis, market selection, and edge detection processes. Based on backtested data from 6 months of prediction market trading.

• Expected value calculation frameworks
• Kelly Criterion position sizing
• Market efficiency analysis
• Behavioral bias exploitation strategies
• Order book reading for prediction markets
• Edge detection process with evaluation checklist

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